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Poisson distribution is a method that works best for calculating statistics in sports where scoring is rare and happens in 2️⃣ increments of one. This is why it is most widely used in association football, and occasionally in hockey, but not 2️⃣ really utilised elsewhere – at least, not successfully.

That’s why, in this article, we’re going to focus on the former in 2️⃣ particular, and why much of what we’ll write will be applicable to football alone. With that said, let’s begin…

What Is 2️⃣ Poisson Distribution?

Poisson distribution is a method of calculating the most likely score in a sporting event such as football. Used 2️⃣ by many experienced gamblers to help shape their strategies, it relies on the calculation of attack and defence strength to 2️⃣ reach a final figure.

A mathematical concept, Poisson distribution works by converting mean averages into a probability. If we say, for 2️⃣ example, that the football club we’re looking at scores an average of 1.7 goals in each of their games, the 2️⃣ formula would give us the following probabilities: